Methods for Estimating the Probability of Clear Lines-of-Sight, or Sunshine, through the Atmosphere.

Mathematics – Probability

Scientific paper

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Scientific paper

Five methods for using standard cloud observations to estimate the
probability of a clear line-of-sight, or sunshine, through the
atmosphere are described and compared. The root-mean-square errors of
the probability estimates (expressed in units of per cent) are less than
10 for four of the five methods.

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