Mean-field forest-fire models and pruning of random trees

Mathematics – Probability

Scientific paper

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Scientific paper

We consider a family of discrete coagulation-fragmentation equations closely related to the one-dimensional forest-fire model of statistical mechanics: each pair of particles with masses $i,j \in \nn$ merge together at rate 2 to produce a single particle with mass $i+j$, and each particle with mass $i$ breaks into $i$ particles with mass 1 at rate $(i-1)/n$. The (large) parameter $n$ controls the rate of ignition and there is also an acceleration factor (depending on the total number of particles) in front of the coagulation term. We prove that for each $n\in \nn$, such a model has a unique equilibrium state and study in details the asymptotics of this equilibrium as $n\to \infty$: (I) the distribution of the mass of a typical particle goes to the law of the number of leaves of a critical binary Galton-Watson tree, (II) the distribution of the mass of a typical size-biased particle converges, after rescaling, to a limit profile, which we write explicitly in terms of the zeroes of the Airy function and its derivative. We also indicate how to simulate perfectly a typical particle and a size-biased typical particle, which allows us to give some probabilistic interpretations of the above results in terms of pruned Galton-Watson trees and pruned continuum random trees.

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