Statistics – Computation
Scientific paper
May 2009
adsabs.harvard.edu/cgi-bin/nph-data_query?bibcode=2009agusmsh22a..06r&link_type=abstract
American Geophysical Union, Spring Meeting 2009, abstract #SH22A-06
Statistics
Computation
0550 Model Verification And Validation, 2447 Modeling And Forecasting, 2772 Plasma Waves And Instabilities (2471), 7924 Forecasting (2722), 7959 Models
Scientific paper
As we approach the next solar maximum the predictive capabilities of magnetosphere models have increased significantly compared to the last maximum, due to model improvements, increased computational power, and more data sources. However, we also face new challenges as more and more human activities become susceptible to space weather effects such as trans-polar flights and GPS navigation and position controls. We first review the current status of coupled Geospace models and how new computational capabilities are making real-time forecasts much more feasible compared to just a few years ago. In the second part of this talk we outline the challenges that lie ahead to efficiently validate and transition the models into operations. We also discuss some ideas that may help streamlining the validation and transitioning process.
Fok M.-
Fuller-Rowell Tim
Glocer A.
Hu Beilai
Larson David
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