Mathematics – Probability
Scientific paper
Apr 2009
adsabs.harvard.edu/cgi-bin/nph-data_query?bibcode=2009ssrv..144..351v&link_type=abstract
Space Science Reviews, Volume 144, Issue 1-4, pp. 351-381
Mathematics
Probability
9
Magnetic Flux Emergence, Magnetic Observables, Flare, Coronal Mass Ejection, Magnetic Cloud, Icme
Scientific paper
We present an overview of how the principal physical properties of magnetic flux which emerges from the toroidal fields in the tachocline through the turbulent convection zone to the solar surface are linked to solar activity events, emphasizing the effects of magnetic field evolution and interaction with other magnetic structures on the latter. We compare the results of different approaches using various magnetic observables to evaluate the probability of flare and coronal mass ejection (CME) activity and forecast eruptive activity on the short term (i.e. days). Then, after a brief overview of the observed properties of CMEs and their theoretical models, we discuss the ejecta properties and describe some typical magnetic and composition characteristics of magnetic clouds (MCs) and interplanetary CMEs (ICMEs). We review some individual examples to clarify the link between eruptions from the Sun and the properties of the resulting ejecta. The importance of a synthetic approach to solar and interplanetary magnetic fields and activity is emphasized.
Culhane Leonard J.
van Driel-Gesztelyi Lidia
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