Mathematics – Numerical Analysis
Scientific paper
2007-02-23
SIAM Journal on Multiscale Modeling and Simulation 5 (2) (2006) 514 -- 531
Mathematics
Numerical Analysis
Scientific paper
In this paper, we propose a new method to forecast the drift of objects in near coastal ocean on a period of several weeks. The proposed approach consists in estimating the probability of events linked to the drift using Monte Carlo simulations. It couples an averaging method which permits to decrease the computational cost and a statistical method in order to take into account the variability of meteorological loading factors.
Ailliot Pierre
Frenod Emmanuel
Monbet Valerie
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