Local Consistency of Markov Chain Monte Carlo Methods

Details Local Consistency of Markov Chain Monte Carlo Methods Local Consistency of Markov Chain Monte Carlo Methods

2010-12-05

arxiv.org/abs/1012.0996v3

Statistics

Methodology

37 pages

Scientific paper

In this paper, we introduce the notion of efficiency (consistency) and examine some asymptotic properties of Markov chain Monte Carlo methods. We apply these results to the Gibbs sampler for independent and identically distributed observations. More precisely, we show that if both the sample size and the running time of the Gibbs sampler tend to infinity, and if the initial guess is not far from the true parameter, the empirical distribution of Gibbs sampler tends to a posterior distribution. This is a local property of the Gibbs sampler, which may be, in some cases, more essential than the global properties to describe its behavior. The advantages of using the local properties are the generality of the underling model and the existence of simple equivalent Gibbs sampler. Those yield a simple regularity condition and suggest the reason for non-regular behaviors, which provides useful insight into the problem of how to construct efficient algorithms.

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