Lagrangian least-squares prediction of solar activity

Computer Science

Scientific paper

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Lagrange Multipliers, Least Squares Method, Prediction Analysis Techniques, Solar Activity, Forecasting, Solar Cycles, Statistical Analysis

Scientific paper

Statistical prediction methods for short-term (months) and long-term (years) forecasting of solar activity were studied. The comparisons indicate that better predictions, in a chi square sense, are possible by lining up the maximum (or minimums, or both) by cycle number. Evidence is also presented to support the existence of an aperiodic variation in the periods as well as the amplitudes.

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