Statistics – Computation
Scientific paper
Dec 2006
adsabs.harvard.edu/cgi-bin/nph-data_query?bibcode=2006agufmsa52a..05m&link_type=abstract
American Geophysical Union, Fall Meeting 2006, abstract #SA52A-05
Statistics
Computation
2415 Equatorial Ionosphere, 2437 Ionospheric Dynamics, 2439 Ionospheric Irregularities, 2443 Midlatitude Ionosphere, 2447 Modeling And Forecasting
Scientific paper
We are in the midst of a revolution in ionospheric remote sensing driven by the illuminating powers of ground and space-based GPS receivers, new UV remote sensing satellites, and the advent of data assimilation techniques for space weather. In particular, the COSMIC 6-satellite constellation launched in April 2006. COSMIC will provide unprecedented global coverage of GPS occultations (~5000 per day), each of which yields electron density information with unprecedented ~1 km vertical resolution. Calibrated measurements of ionospheric delay (total electron content or TEC) suitable for input into assimilation models will be available in near real-time (NRT) from the COSMIC project with a latency of 30 to 120 minutes. Similarly, NRT TEC data are available from two worldwide NRT networks of ground GPS receivers (~75 5-minute sites and ~125 more hourly sites, operated by JPL and others). The combined NRT ground and space-based GPS datasets provide a new opportunity to more accurately specify the 3-dimensional ionospheric density with a time lag of only 15 to 120 minutes. With the addition of the vertically-resolved NRT occultation data, the retrieved profile shapes will model the hour-to-hour ionospheric "weather" much more accurately. The University of Southern California (USC) and the Jet Propulsion Laboratory (JPL) have jointly developed a real-time Global Assimilative Ionospheric Model (GAIM) to monitor space weather, study storm effects, and provide ionospheric calibration for DoD customers and NASA flight projects. JPL/USC GAIM is a physics- based 3D data assimilation model that uses both 4DVAR and Kalman filter techniques to solve for the ion & electron density state and key drivers such as equatorial electrodynamics, neutral winds, and production terms. Daily (delayed) GAIM runs can accept as input ground GPS TEC data from 1000+ sites, occultation links from CHAMP, SAC-C, and the COSMIC constellation, UV limb and nadir scans from the TIMED and DMSP satellites, and in situ data from a variety of satellites (DMSP and C/NOFS). RTGAIM ingests multiple data sources in real time, updates the 3D electron density grid every 5 minutes, and solves for improved drivers every 1-2 hours. Since our forward physics model and the adjoint model were expressly designed for data assimilation and computational efficiency, all of this can be accomplished on a single dual-processor Unix workstation. Customers are currently evaluating the accuracy of JPL/USC GAIM "nowcasts" for ray tracing applications and trans-ionospheric path delay calibration. In the talk, we will discuss the expected impact of COSMIC occultation data; show first results for ingest of COSMIC data using the GAIM Kalman filter; present validation of the GAIM electron density grid by comparisons to Abel profiles and independent datasets; describe recent improvements to the JPL/USC GAIM model; and describe our plans for NRT ingest of COSMIC data into RTGAIM.
Hajj G.
Iijima Byron
Komjathy Attila
Mandrake Lukas
Pi Xiaoqing
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