Statistics – Methodology
Scientific paper
2009-04-06
Statistics
Methodology
50 pages, 1 table, 5 figures, supplementary appendix with numerical example comparing quantile and distribution regression and
Scientific paper
We develop inference procedures for policy analysis based on regression methods. We consider policy interventions that correspond to either changes in the distribution of covariates, or changes in the conditional distribution of the outcome given covariates, or both. Under either of these policy scenarios, we derive functional central limit theorems for regression-based estimators of the status quo and counterfactual marginal distributions. This result allows us to construct simultaneous confidence sets for function-valued policy effects, including the effects on the marginal distribution function, quantile function, and other related functionals. We use these confidence sets to test functional hypotheses such as no-effect, positive effect, or stochastic dominance. Our theory applies to general policy interventions and covers the main regression methods including classical, quantile, duration, and distribution regressions. We illustrate the results with an empirical application on wage decompositions using data for the United States. Of independent interest is the use of distribution regression as a tool for modeling the entire conditional distribution, encompassing duration/transformation regression, and representing an alternative to quantile regression.
Chernozhukov Victor
Fernandez-Val Ivan
Melly Blaise
No associations
LandOfFree
Inference on Counterfactual Distributions does not yet have a rating. At this time, there are no reviews or comments for this scientific paper.
If you have personal experience with Inference on Counterfactual Distributions, we encourage you to share that experience with our LandOfFree.com community. Your opinion is very important and Inference on Counterfactual Distributions will most certainly appreciate the feedback.
Profile ID: LFWR-SCP-O-133462