Incrementally developing a cultural and regulatory infrastructure for reusable launch vehicles

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Scientific paper

At this point in time, technology is perhaps the least significant barrier to the development of high-flight-rate, reusable launchers, necessary for low-cost space access. Much more daunting are the issues of regulatory regimes, needed markets, and public/investor perception of their feasibility. The approach currently the focus of the government (X-33) assumes that the necessary conditions will be in place to support a new reusable launch vehicle in the Shuttle class at the end of the X-33 development. For a number of reasons (market size, lack of confidence in the technology, regulations designed for expendable vehicles, difficulties in capital formation) such an approach may prove too rapid a leap for success. More incremental steps, both experimental and operational, could be a higher-probability path to achieving the goal of cheap access through reusables. Such incrementalism, via intermediate vehicles (possibly multi-stage) exploiting suborbital and smaller-payload markets, could provide the gradual acclimatization of the public, regulatory and investment communities to reusable launchers, and build the confidence necessary to go on to subsequent steps to provide truly cheap access, while providing lower-cost access much sooner.

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