How Unlucky is 25-Sigma?

Economy – Quantitative Finance – General Finance

Scientific paper

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Scientific paper

One of the more memorable moments of last summer's credit crunch came when
the CFO of Goldman Sachs, David Viniar, announced in August that Goldman's
flagship GEO hedge fund had lost 27% of its value since the start of the year.
As Mr. Viniar explained, "We were seeing things that were 25-standard deviation
moves, several days in a row."

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