Foreshocks and pre-events associated with the nucleation of large earthquakes

Mathematics – Logic

Scientific paper

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Earthquakes, Geological Faults, Nucleation, Rupturing, Elastic Properties, Mathematical Models, Propagation Velocity, Shear Stress, Stress Distribution

Scientific paper

We propose a theoretical model which can explain the occurrence of foreshocks and pre-events associated with the nucleation of large earthquakes. We consider a broad weak zone with a locally strong part (asperity) on a fault plane in a two-dimensional framework and examine the transition process from quasi-static nucleation to high-speed rupture propagation through numerical simulations. The dynamic rupture of the asperity occurs in three different manners, as aseismic slip, foreshock or pre-event, depending on the peak stress of the asperity. In all cases the rupture of the asperity accelerates the nucleation of main rupture.

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