Forecasting the Radiation Belt Environment: Model and Product

Details Forecasting the Radiation Belt Environment: Model and Product Forecasting the Radiation Belt Environment: Model and Product

May 2002

adsabs.harvard.edu/cgi-bin/nph-data_query?bibcode=2002agusmsh52a..10z&link_type=abstract

American Geophysical Union, Spring Meeting 2002, abstract #SH52A-10

Mathematics

Logic

2716 Energetic Particles, Precipitating, 2720 Energetic Particles, Trapped, 2722 Forecasting, 2788 Storms And Substorms

Scientific paper

In this talk, a physical model of radiation belt forecasting developed at Goddard Space Flight Center will be presented. This is a solar wind and IMF driven model solving the convection-diffusion equation of plasma distributions in the 10 keV to MeV energy range. We will present the model logic, model products, and the model validation by comparing measured particle fluxes during several magnetic storms with model calculations. The focus of the talk will be the effects of auroral electron injections and wave-particle interactions on the development of the radiation belt during geomagnetic active periods. In addition, future development of this forecasting model will be discussed.

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