Mathematics – Probability
Scientific paper
Apr 1991
adsabs.harvard.edu/cgi-bin/nph-data_query?bibcode=1991jgr....96.5497l&link_type=abstract
Journal of Geophysical Research (ISSN 0148-0227), vol. 96, April 1, 1991, p. 5497-5509.
Mathematics
Probability
44
Dynamic Pressure, Flux Transfer Events, Magnetic Field Reconnection, Magnetopause, Magnetosheath, Interplanetary Magnetic Fields, Magnetic Field Configurations, Solar Terrestrial Interactions, Transient Response
Scientific paper
Statistics on the variability of the IMF orientation are used to investigate the effects of IMF changes between times of the magnetosheath and flux transfer event (FTE) observations. It is shown that the previously published results are consistent with magnetospheric FTEs being entirely absent when the magnetosheath field is northward. Allowance for IMF variability makes the occurrence frequency of magnetosphere FTEs during southward magnetosheath fields very similar to that observed for magnetosheath FTEs. Conversely, the probability of attaining the observed occurrence frequencies for the pressure pulse model is 10 to the -14th. It is argued that some magnetosheath FTEs should, for the pressure pulse model, have been observed for northward IMF, the probability that the number is as low as actually observed is estimated to be 10 to the -10th.
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