Fluid flow triggered migration of events in the 1989 Dobi earthquake sequence of Central Afar

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Physical Properties Of Rocks: Fracture And Flow, Seismology: Oceanic Crust

Scientific paper

During the August 1989 sequence of earthquakes beneath the Dobi graben in Central Afar, principal events (including 10 shocks with ML>=5.5) propagated -50km northwestwards in -50h. The sequence is analyzed in terms of triggering by propagation of a critical pore pressure wave in a compressible fluid through a fractured medium. The macroscopic fluid diffusion tensor D in the crust beneath the graben is estimated. Its principal eigenvector strikes ~N155°E nearly parallel to the graben axis. With a value Dxx~2km2/min, it is about 10 times larger than the other two, consistent with fissure anisotropy in the graben. The order of magnitude of the permeability (~10-8m2) is compatible with characteristic fissure widths ranging from 1 mm to 3 cm. Estimating such parameters in other extensional regions might help to understand better the temporal evolution of seismic swarms.

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