Finding Exogenous Variables in Data with Many More Variables than Observations

Statistics – Machine Learning

Scientific paper

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A revised version of this was published in Proc. ICANN2010

Scientific paper

10.1007/978-3-642-15819-3_10

Many statistical methods have been proposed to estimate causal models in classical situations with fewer variables than observations (p>n). In this paper, we propose a method to find exogenous variables in a linear non-Gaussian causal model, which requires much smaller sample sizes than conventional methods and works even when p>>n. The key idea is to identify which variables are exogenous based on non-Gaussianity instead of estimating the entire structure of the model. Exogenous variables work as triggers that activate a causal chain in the model, and their identification leads to more efficient experimental designs and better understanding of the causal mechanism. We present experiments with artificial data and real-world gene expression data to evaluate the method.

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