Extraterrestrial cold chemistry. A need for a specific database.

Computer Science – Databases

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Scientific paper

The major resource databases for building chemical models for photochemistry in cold environments are mainly based on those designed for Earth atmospheric chemistry or combustion, in which reaction rates are reported for temperatures typically above 300 K [1,2]. Kinetic data measured at low temperatures are very sparse; for instance, in stateoftheart photochemical models of Titan atmosphere, less than 10% of the rates have been measured in the relevant temperature range (100200 K) [35]. In consequence, photochemical models rely mostly on lowT extrapolations by Arrheniustype laws. There is more and more evidence that this is often inappropriate [6], and low T extrapolations are hindered by very high uncertainty [3] (Fig.1). The predictions of models based on those extrapolations are expected to be very inaccurate [4,7]. We argue that there is not much sense in increasing the complexity of the present models as long as this predictivity issue has not been resolved. Fig. 1 Uncertainty of low temperature extrapolation for the N(2D) +C2H4 reaction rate, from measurements in the range 225 292 K [10], assuming an Arrhenius law (blue line). The sample of rate laws is generated by Monte Carlo uncertainty propagation after a Bayesian Data reAnalysis (BDA) of experimental data. A dialogue between modellers and experimentalists is necessary to improve this situation. Considering the heavy costs of low temperature reaction kinetics experiments, the identification of key reactions has to be based on an optimal strategy to improve the predictivity of photochemical models. This can be achieved by global sensitivity analysis, as illustrated on Titan atmospheric chemistry [8]. The main difficulty of this scheme is that it requires a lot of inputs, mainly the evaluation of uncertainty for extrapolated reaction rates. Although a large part has already been achieved by Hébrard et al. [3], extension and validation requires a group of experts. A new generation of collaborative kinetic database is needed to implement efficiently this scheme. The KIDA project [9], initiated by V. Wakelam for astrochemistry, has been joined by planetologists with similar prospects. EuroPlaNet will contribute to this effort through the organization of comities of experts on specific processes in atmospheric photochemistry.

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