Evidence for a constant b-value above magnitude 0 in the southern San Andreas, San Jacinto and San Miguel fault zones, and at the Long Valley caldera, California

Mathematics – Logic

Scientific paper

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California, Earthquakes, Geological Faults, San Andreas Fault, Seismology, Valleys, Volcanoes, Geological Surveys, Magnitude, Prediction Analysis Techniques

Scientific paper

The cumulative b-value (the slope of the Gutenberg - Richter relationship between earthquake occurrence rate and magnitude) is commonly found to be constant (approximately 1). Network catalogues however, reveal a decrease at small magnitudes (less than 3). Some recent studies have suggested that this decrease in b-value is not just an artifact of catalog incompleteness, but that small earthquakes are really not as numerous as a constant b-value extrapolated from larger events would predict. Brune & Allen (1967) recorded microseismicity in both the San Andreas and San Jacinto fault zones in southern California, calculating that they were complete to magnitude 0. Reyes et al. (1975) performed a similar study of the San Miguel fault zone, Baja California, estimating completeness above magnitude -0.5. We compare the results of these studies with the occurrence rates of earthquakes on the same faults recorded by the Southern California and RESNOR seismic networks. In a new microseismicity survey at the Long Valley caldera, Mammoth Lakes, California, microearthquakes were recorded and counted within 24 km of stations CLK and CHS. This study is estimated to be complete above 0.6 M at CLK and 0.9 M at CHS, and the microseismicity rates are found to be in good agreement with the rate predicted by extrapolating the b-value from the local network recorded seismicity.

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