Errors in Orbital Predictions for Artificial Satellites of Earth

Astronomy and Astrophysics – Astrophysics

Scientific paper

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Scientific paper

SEVERAL workers1-3 have carefully investigated variations in the accelerations of artificial satellites of Earth, but no one seems to have published a systematic study of the errors in orbital predictions. The results of such work4 are presented in this communication. A stochastic model was constructed which takes into account fluctuations in atmospheric density, observational errors, and the correlations introduced by smoothing. Errors in actual predictions issued by the Vanguard Computing Center, National Aeronautics and Space Administration Computing Center, Smithsonian Astrophysical Observatory, and Naval Weapons Laboratory were also computed, for comparison with the theoretical model.

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