Epidemiological dynamics of the 2009 Influenza A(H1N1)v outbreak in India

Details Epidemiological dynamics of the 2009 Influenza A(H1N1)v outbreak in India Epidemiological dynamics of the 2009 Influenza A(H1N1)v outbreak in India

2010-06-03

arxiv.org/abs/1006.0685v1

Biology

Quantitative Biology

Populations and Evolution

5 pages, 4 figures

Scientific paper

We analyze the time-series data for the onset of A(H1N1)v influenza pandemic in India during the period June 1- September 30, 2009. Using a variety of statistical fitting procedures, we obtain a robust estimate of the exponential growth rate $\langle \lambda \rangle \simeq 0.15$. This corresponds to a basic reproductive number $R_0 \simeq 1.45$ for influenza A(H1N1)v in India, a value which lies towards the lower end of the range of values reported for different countries affected by the pandemic.

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