Early Eocene Arctic climate sensitivity to pCO2 and basin geography

Mathematics – Logic

Scientific paper

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Global Change: Global Climate Models (3337, 4928), Paleoceanography: Paleocene/Eocene Thermal Maximum, Geographic Location: Arctic Region (0718, 4207), Information Related To Geologic Time: Paleogene

Scientific paper

We present results from new early Eocene (˜55-45 Ma) climate modeling experiments with the NCAR Community Climate System Model. These experiments test the sensitivity of climate to a large increase in atmospheric greenhouse gases, such as may have occurred at the Paleocene-Eocene (P-E) boundary (˜55.5 Ma), and also allow us to explore the role of Arctic basin configuration on climate. Experiments were run with pCO2 at 560 and 2240 ppm, and a third experiment, at 2240 ppm, incorporates a passage to a neighboring ocean to explore the potential effect of the ocean on Arctic warming, were the Arctic not isolated. Quadrupling pCO2 warms the Arctic by ˜8°C in the annual average, doubles atmospheric moisture content in this region and eliminates Arctic sea ice, consistent with proxy estimates of warming at the P-E boundary. Opening the Arctic Ocean warms mean annual sea surface temperature by an additional ˜4°C.

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