Mathematics – Probability
Scientific paper
Feb 1996
adsabs.harvard.edu/cgi-bin/nph-data_query?bibcode=1996em%26p...72...35e&link_type=abstract
Earth, Moon and Planets, Volume 72, Issue 1-3, pp. 35-40
Mathematics
Probability
3
Comets, Dynamics, Fading Problem
Scientific paper
Possibilities to explain the observed 1/a-distribution are discussed in the light of improved understanding of the dynamical evolution of long-period comets. It appears that the ‘fading problem’ applies both to single-injection and continuous-injection models. Although uncertainties due to nongravitational effects do not allow detailed results to be drawn from the observed 1/a-distribution at small perihelion distance q, that for q ≳ 1.5 AU shows that a constant fading probability cannot explain all the features of the observed distribution. Assuming that comets can reappear following a period of fading, values for the assumed constant fading and renewal probabilities, and the total cometary flux have been estimated for q > 1.5 AU.
Bailey Mark E.
Emel'Yanenko Vacheslav Vasilievitch
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