Nonlinear Sciences – Adaptation and Self-Organizing Systems
Scientific paper
1993-07-27
Nonlinear Sciences
Adaptation and Self-Organizing Systems
24 pages. Also available through anonymous ftp from parcftp.xerox.com in the directory /pub/transient as action.ps
Scientific paper
We elucidate the dynamics of ongoing collective action among intentional agents with diverse beliefs and imperfect information. Their decisions on whether or not to contribute to the collective good depend not only on the past but also on their expectations as to how their actions will affect those of others. We show that in attempts at collective action the onset of overall cooperation can take place in a sudden and unexpected way. Likewise, defection can appear out of nowhere in very large, previously cooperating groups. These outbreaks mark the end of long transient states in which defection or cooperation persists in groups that cannot sustain it indefinitely. Diversity of beliefs among individuals acts as an additional source of uncertainty and instigates the outbreaks.
Glance Natalie
Huberman Bernardo
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