Discussion of "Bayesian Models and Methods in Public Policy and Government Settings" by S. E. Fienberg

Details Discussion of "Bayesian Models and Methods in Public Policy and Government Settings" by S. E. Fienberg Discussion of "Bayesian Models and Methods in Public Policy and Government Settings" by S. E. Fienberg

2011-08-18

arxiv.org/abs/1108.3657v1

Statistical Science 2011, Vol. 26, No. 2, 227-230

Statistics

Methodology

Published in at http://dx.doi.org/10.1214/11-STS331A the Statistical Science (http://www.imstat.org/sts/) by the Institute of

Scientific paper

10.1214/11-STS331A

Fienberg convincingly demonstrates that Bayesian models and methods represent a powerful approach to squeezing illumination from data in public policy settings. However, no school of inference is without its weaknesses, and, in the face of the ambiguities, uncertainties, and poorly posed questions of the real world, perhaps we should not expect to find a formally correct inferential strategy which can be universally applied, whatever the nature of the question: we should not expect to be able to identify a "norm" approach. An analogy is made between George Box's "no models are right, but some are useful," and inferential systems [arXiv:1108.2177].

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