Statistics – Applications
Scientific paper
2011-07-28
Annals of Applied Statistics 2011, Vol. 5, No. 2B, 1586-1610
Statistics
Applications
Published in at http://dx.doi.org/10.1214/10-AOAS448 the Annals of Applied Statistics (http://www.imstat.org/aoas/) by the Ins
Scientific paper
10.1214/10-AOAS448
Sensor-based degradation signals measure the accumulation of damage of an engineering system using sensor technology. Degradation signals can be used to estimate, for example, the distribution of the remaining life of partially degraded systems and/or their components. In this paper we present a nonparametric degradation modeling framework for making inference on the evolution of degradation signals that are observed sparsely or over short intervals of times. Furthermore, an empirical Bayes approach is used to update the stochastic parameters of the degradation model in real-time using training degradation signals for online monitoring of components operating in the field. The primary application of this Bayesian framework is updating the residual lifetime up to a degradation threshold of partially degraded components. We validate our degradation modeling approach using a real-world crack growth data set as well as a case study of simulated degradation signals.
Gebraeel Nagi
Serban Nicoleta
Zhou Rensheng R.
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