December the Twentieth (2012) Is Too Late: Addressing the "Science” of Doomsday

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Scientific paper

The claimed end date of the Mayan "Long Count” calendar cycle on December 21, 2012 has given rise to assorted "New Age” speculations about major transformative events occurring in conjunction with the completion of this cycle. These speculations range from a global consciousness shift to some higher plane of understanding, to various apocalyptic disasters including increased solar activity, geomagnetic reversal, crustal displacement, and collision with a rogue planet. In recent years, the notion has spawned numerous books, History Channel programs, and a Sony Pictures film to air in late 2009 (accompanied by a viral marketing campaign describing various doomsday scenarios and offering a "survival lottery"). This current "meme” (that is, an idea that replicates through cultural transmission) represents a potential teachable moment for scientists and EPO professionals alike, but we shouldn't wait until the purported Eve of Destruction (or of Transcendental Bliss) to comment. The presenter will describe what the Astronomical Society of the Pacific is planning to do to address the attendant issues, to separate science from pseudoscience, to encourage critical thinking in the consideration of such claims, and to remind the public of legitimate threats to the planet about which we can make a positive difference. He will further encourage others to do the same.

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