Decadal cooling in the Indian summer monsoon after 1997/1998 El Niño and its impact on the East Asian summer monsoon

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Atmospheric Processes: Climate Change And Variability (1616, 1635, 3309, 4215, 4513), Atmospheric Processes: Climatology (1616, 1620, 3305, 4215, 8408), Atmospheric Processes: Precipitation (1854)

Scientific paper

Observational evidences are presented to show a significant atmospheric diabatic cooling in the Indian summer monsoon (ISM) region after the 1997/1998 El Niño. This study investigates the cause of this decadal cooling and its impact on the East Asian summer monsoon (EASM). After 1997/1998, the abnormal sea surface temperature warming in the western Pacific, which is not fully demonstrated in this study, induces enhanced local convection. This enhanced convection strengthens the Walker-type circulation and leads to moisture divergence, subsidence, and decreased cloudiness over the ISM, which in turn causes the diabatic cooling. The decadal cooling of the ISM, on the other hand, may affect the EASM through development of an anomalous local meridional cell over the EASM region and through enhancement of the Eurasian wave train pattern. Consequently, rainfall over the ISM and northern EASM decreases concurrently, while the southern EASM rainfall increases after 1997/1998.

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