Computer Science
Scientific paper
Sep 1987
adsabs.harvard.edu/cgi-bin/nph-data_query?bibcode=1987aifo.reptq....k&link_type=abstract
M.S. Thesis Air Force Inst. of Tech., Wright-Patterson AFB, OH. School of Systems and Logistics.
Computer Science
Decision Making, Delphi Method (Forecasting), Lunar Bases, Space Missions, Systems Management, Cost Effectiveness, Finance, Iteration, Military Technology, Resource Allocation, Space Commercialization, Space Stations
Scientific paper
The purpose of this study was to determine the critical issues for a potential lunar outpost by polling a group of experts knowledgeable about decision-making involving the allocation of large-scale resources. A Delphi exercise is an iterative polling technique in which the group opinion is refined during successive iterations, while at the same time preserving differing viewpoints. The experts identified four critical issues: (1) demonstration of the value of a lunar base (e.g., cost effective lunar-based science, source of raw materials, technology spin-offs, etc.); (2) sustained political and financial support; (3) credibility of the government (i.e., NASA) in accomplishing such a large and complex program; (4) development of the military value of a lunar base.
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