Mathematics – Probability
Scientific paper
Sep 1984
adsabs.harvard.edu/cgi-bin/nph-data_query?bibcode=1984jbis...37..420b&link_type=abstract
British Interplanetary Society, Journal (Interstellar Studies) (ISSN 0007-084X), vol. 37, Sept. 1984, p. 420-429.
Mathematics
Probability
1
Computerized Simulation, Culture (Social Sciences), Interstellar Space, Sociology, Space Colonies, Behavior, Probability Theory
Scientific paper
A socio-cultural model of interstellar colonization is developed on the basis of a coherent theory of social behavior, and a microcomputer simulation is used to demonstrate the possibility of the existence of numerous limited civilizations. The model incorporates the concept of cultural drift, i.e., a random cultural change likely in areas that are not of great practical value to members of the society. Some of the conclusions drawn from the model are: interstellar civilizations are highly irregular in shape; uncolonized habitable worlds exist near the home worlds of large interstellar civilizations; and the expansion of interstellar civilizations proceeds more slowly than expected by models which do not incorporate the concept of cultural drift.
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