Comparison between the measured arrival times at L1 of shocks generated in association with eleven flare/halo CME events and their predicted arrival times computed using three numerical models

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Interplanetary Shocks, Cmes

Scientific paper

The arrival times at L1 of eleven travelling shocks individually generated in association with X-ray flares accompanied by halo CMEs, high energy protons and Type II drift bursts, were each compared with the corresponding predicted values of shock arrival provided by three, widely used, numerical models [the Shock Time of Arrival Model (STOA): the Interplanetary Solar Propagation Model (ISPM) and the Hakamada-Akasofu-Fry Solar Wind Model (HAF-v2)]. These comparisons indicate that the three models tested provided satisfactory predictions (accuracy in the general range 1-5h).

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