Comments on nonparametric predictions of sunspot numbers

Mathematics – Dynamical Systems

Scientific paper

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Prediction Analysis Techniques, Sunspots, Dynamical Systems, Statistical Analysis, Time Series Analysis

Scientific paper

A critique is offered of the results presented by Cerrito (1990), which were seen as indicating that classical time-series models are not suitable for the series of sunspot numbers. Using the so-called 'correlation integral', it is shown that the data have the same structure as a stochastic system with a large noise term, such as a high-dimensional system.

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