Other
Scientific paper
Dec 2008
adsabs.harvard.edu/cgi-bin/nph-data_query?bibcode=2008agufmgc51a0664s&link_type=abstract
American Geophysical Union, Fall Meeting 2008, abstract #GC51A-0664
Other
1616 Climate Variability (1635, 3305, 3309, 4215, 4513), 1650 Solar Variability (7537), 7537 Solar And Stellar Variability (1650), 7538 Solar Irradiance
Scientific paper
Global warming has been and will be significantly modified by natural decadal-scale climate variability. For example, the pacific decadal oscillation (PDO) has entered a cool phase that is expected to induce a global cooling in the following two decades. A cooling of the global climate, not predicted by the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) projections, has been observed since 2002. The causes of the natural decadal and multidecadal scale climate fluctuations remain unexplained. This makes particularly problematic the evaluation of the climate models and of their theoretical forecasts for the 21st century. Here I investigate whether multidecadal internal climate variations are extraterrestrially induced. The movement of the Sun relative to the center of mass of the solar system (CMSS) is used as a proxy of the extraterrestrial forcing. I show that large natural climate variations with peak-to-trough amplitude of about 0.1 oC and 0.24 oC and with periods of about 20 and 60 years, respectively, match equivalent oscillations found in the dynamics of the Sun relative to the CMSS. Several other frequency components match as well. Thus, the solar planetary index can be used to forecast multidecadal natural climate oscillations for the 21st century. These projections indicate that climate will stabilize or cool until 2030. An indirect consequence of these findings is that at least 60% of the global warming observed since 1975 has been induced by the combined effect of the above two natural climate oscillations. This suggests that the anthropogenic effect on global warming has been exaggerated by the climate model simulations and projections published by the IPCC.
No associations
LandOfFree
Can the solar system planetary motion be used to forecast the multidecadal variability of climate? does not yet have a rating. At this time, there are no reviews or comments for this scientific paper.
If you have personal experience with Can the solar system planetary motion be used to forecast the multidecadal variability of climate?, we encourage you to share that experience with our LandOfFree.com community. Your opinion is very important and Can the solar system planetary motion be used to forecast the multidecadal variability of climate? will most certainly appreciate the feedback.
Profile ID: LFWR-SCP-O-1242075