Bias in polarimetric estimators

Astronomy and Astrophysics – Astronomy

Scientific paper

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Binary Stars, Data Correlation, Polarimetry, Stellar Models, Stellar Spectrophotometry, Confidence Limits, Parameter Identification, Signal To Noise Ratios

Scientific paper

Applying formal error techniques or results from linear model theory to nonlinear problems is discussed in relation to polarimetric modelling of binary stars. The least squares estimator for the inclination of the binary is shown to be severely biased towards high values when the signal to noise ratio is low, particularly for low inclinations. This biasing is obscured by selection effects that favor the detection of high inclination systems. Most close binary systems are known as such because they manifest spectrophotometric variations, but these are small when the binary inclination is low. Hence it is extremely probable that there is agreement between polarimetric and spectrophotometric determinations of binary inclinations, although this reflects no more than the noise level of polarimetric data. Methods of dealing with the bias in this estimation are discussed, stressing the importance of establishing confidence regions.

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