Bayesian Thought in Early Modern Detective Stories: Monsieur Lecoq, C. Auguste Dupin and Sherlock Holmes

Details Bayesian Thought in Early Modern Detective Stories: Monsieur Lecoq, C. Auguste Dupin and Sherlock Holmes Bayesian Thought in Early Modern Detective Stories: Monsieur Lecoq, C. Auguste Dupin and Sherlock Holmes

2010-01-19

arxiv.org/abs/1001.3253v1

Statistical Science 2009, Vol. 24, No. 2, 238-243

Statistics

Methodology

Published in the Statistical Science (http://www.imstat.org/sts/) by the Institute of Mathematical Statistics (http://www.imst

Scientific paper

10.1214/09-STS298

This paper reviews the maxims used by three early modern fictional
detectives: Monsieur Lecoq, C. Auguste Dupin and Sherlock Holmes. It find
similarities between these maxims and Bayesian thought. Poe's Dupin uses ideas
very similar to Bayesian game theory. Sherlock Holmes' statements also show
thought patterns justifiable in Bayesian terms.

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