Bayesian semi-parametric estimation of the long-memory parameter under FEXP-priors

Details Bayesian semi-parametric estimation of the long-memory parameter under FEXP-priors Bayesian semi-parametric estimation of the long-memory parameter under FEXP-priors

2012-02-22

arxiv.org/abs/1202.4863v1

Mathematics

Statistics Theory

Scientific paper

For a Gaussian time series with long-memory behavior, we use the FEXP-model for semi-parametric estimation of the long-memory parameter $d$. The true spectral density $f_o$ is assumed to have long-memory parameter $d_o$ and a FEXP-expansion of Sobolev-regularity $\be > 1$. We prove that when $k$ follows a Poisson or geometric prior, or a sieve prior increasing at rate $n^{\frac{1}{1+2\be}}$, $d$ converges to $d_o$ at a suboptimal rate. When the sieve prior increases at rate $n^{\frac{1}{2\be}}$ however, the minimax rate is almost obtained. Our results can be seen as a Bayesian equivalent of the result which Moulines and Soulier obtained for some frequentist estimators.

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