Artificial Intelligence for Conflict Management

Details Artificial Intelligence for Conflict Management Artificial Intelligence for Conflict Management

2007-05-09

arxiv.org/abs/0705.1209v1

Computer Science

Artificial Intelligence

20 pages

Scientific paper

Militarised conflict is one of the risks that have a significant impact on society. Militarised Interstate Dispute (MID) is defined as an outcome of interstate interactions, which result on either peace or conflict. Effective prediction of the possibility of conflict between states is an important decision support tool for policy makers. In a previous research, neural networks (NNs) have been implemented to predict the MID. Support Vector Machines (SVMs) have proven to be very good prediction techniques and are introduced for the prediction of MIDs in this study and compared to neural networks. The results show that SVMs predict MID better than NNs while NNs give more consistent and easy to interpret sensitivity analysis than SVMs.

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