Statistics
Scientific paper
Nov 1997
adsabs.harvard.edu/cgi-bin/nph-data_query?bibcode=1997georl..24.2829o&link_type=abstract
Geophysical Research Letters, Volume 24, Issue 22, p. 2829-2832
Statistics
8
Global Change, Global Change: Atmosphere, Hydrology: Anthropogenic Effects, Meteorology And Atmospheric Dynamics: Precipitation
Scientific paper
It is demonstrated that the long-term-mean intensity of an area-mean precipitation timeseries and the long-term-mean intensities at the points within the area of interest can change by different relative amounts if the spatial scale of precipitation events changes. This effect is problematic when trying to derive fine-scale climate change scenarios from the statistics of area-mean grid-box precipitation simulated by climate models. Examples of this effect are given using model predictions of changing intensity and changing precipitation type (synoptic or convective).
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