An Integrated Program to Forecast Geostorms

Details An Integrated Program to Forecast Geostorms An Integrated Program to Forecast Geostorms

Dec 2004

adsabs.harvard.edu/cgi-bin/nph-data_query?bibcode=2004agufmsa51b0243l&link_type=abstract

American Geophysical Union, Fall Meeting 2004, abstract #SA51B-0243

Mathematics

Probability

7513 Coronal Mass Ejections, 7524 Magnetic Fields

Scientific paper

We have developed several operational products and automated tools for assessing the helicity content of solar regions and their probability of launching a geoeffective coronal mass ejection. These include detection of active region sigmoids, measurement of magnetic helicity injection in active regions, measurement of the sense of helicity in solar filaments, and the estimate of magnetic helicity content of active regions from vector magnetogram observations. In this presentation we discuss a new program to integrate the separate products and tools into a single product that provides a quantitative mid-term forecast of solar activity that results in geomagnetic storms.

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