AFWA Space Weather Operations: Specifying and Forecasting the Operational Environment for the Warfighter

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7924 Forecasting (2722), 7999 General Or Miscellaneous

Scientific paper

The effects of space weather on modern military systems can range from mere annoyances to catastrophic system outages and failures. Knowing the timing and severity of mission-impacting space weather is crucial to mitigating and overcoming its effects. The 2nd Weather Squadron's Space Weather Flight at the Air Force Weather Agency (AFWA) faces the daily challenge of forecasting space weather to support US warfighters and other DoD customers. The forecaster's success depends on the combined efforts of other AFWA personnel involved in technology transition and space weather program management to deliver the latest technology to operations. As the DoD lead for space weather, AFWA provides timely, accurate, and relevant space weather data and forecasts. This presentation will give an overview of infrastructure that makes this possible, highlight the current state of the GAIM and HAF models, and explore future required capabilities. A new delivery of the Global Assimilation of Ionospheric Measurements (GAIM) model is on the horizon, as well as the delivery of the Space Weather Modeling System (SWMS), the first coupled solar wind-ionospheric model in operations. This will enhance the quality of the GAIM forecast out to 5 days.

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