A prediction of solar activities in the later phase of solar cycle 22 and in solar cycle 23.

Details A prediction of solar activities in the later phase of solar cycle 22 and in solar cycle 23. A prediction of solar activities in the later phase of solar cycle 22 and in solar cycle 23.

Oct 1992

adsabs.harvard.edu/cgi-bin/nph-data_query?bibcode=1992acaps..12..369w&link_type=abstract

Acta Astrophys. Sin., Vol. 12, No. 4, p. 369 - 373

Astronomy and Astrophysics

Astrophysics

4

Scientific paper

Based on an analysis of parameters of high solar cycles, five properties of solar activity in the ascending phase of cycle 22 are firstly given. Then, solar activities in the descending phase of cycle 22 are estimated. About 2800 active regions, 28000 flares, 210 X class X-ray bursts and 80 solar proton events could be observed in the phase of the cycle. Equations of parameters of solar cycles are obtained and an application of these formulae gives a prediction of the parameters of cycle 23. The smoothed monthly sunspot number would reach its maximum of 119 in A.D. 2001.6.

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