A prediction method for sunspot activity

Details A prediction method for sunspot activity A prediction method for sunspot activity

Dec 1979

adsabs.harvard.edu/cgi-bin/nph-data_query?bibcode=1979rarlr..25..443i&link_type=abstract

Radio Research Laboratories, Review, vol. 25, Dec. 1979, p. 443-449, 451-461. In Japanese, with abstract in English.

Computer Science

Computer Programming, Prediction Analysis Techniques, Sunspot Cycle, Sunspots, Computer Programs, Secular Variations

Scientific paper

A revised McNish-Lincoln prediction method for the sunspot number has been programmed for computer operation. The optimum prediction coefficients are obtained and used in the revised prediction which estimates the 12-month running means of monthly sunspot numbers. The observed values in the 10 solar cycles since 1855 were used to calculate the prediction coefficients, and those in the current 20th solar cycle were compared with their predicted values. The results show that predicted values agree fairly with observed ones except in the starting and fluctuating epochs of sunspot activity.

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