A novel method for the ultralong-range forecasting of solar activity

Details A novel method for the ultralong-range forecasting of solar activity A novel method for the ultralong-range forecasting of solar activity

Dec 1980

adsabs.harvard.edu/cgi-bin/nph-data_query?bibcode=1980izssr..44.2569o&link_type=abstract

(Seminar po Vzaimodeistviiu Kosmicheskikh Luchei so Sredoi, Leningrad, USSR, Nov. 30-Dec. 2, 1979.) Akademiia Nauk SSSR, Izvesti

Statistics

Applications

Prediction Analysis Techniques, Solar Activity, Solar Cycles, Solar Terrestrial Interactions, Long Term Effects, Magnetic Storms, Solar Magnetic Field, Upper Atmosphere

Scientific paper

After a brief review of existing methods of solar-activity forecasting, the paper proposes a novel method of ultralong-range forecasting. The method is based on the correlation between the average-yearly value of the geomagnetic activity index in a given 11-year cycle and the height of the next cycle. Some practical applications of this method are discussed.

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