A new proton fluence model for E greater than 10 MeV

Mathematics

Scientific paper

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Fluence, Mathematical Models, Radiation Effects, Solar Protons, Spacecraft Environments, Sun, Radiation Hazards, Solar Cycles, Solar Flares, Statistical Analysis, Sunspots

Scientific paper

Researchers describe a new engineering model for the fluence of protons with energies greater than 10 MeV. The data set used is a combination of observations made primarily from the Earth's surface between 1956 and 1963 and observations made from spacecraft in the vicinity of Earth between 1963 and 1985. With this data set we find that the distinction between ordinary proton events and anomalously large proton events made in earlier work disappears. The greater than 10 MeV fluences at 1 AU calculated with the new model are about twice those expected on the basis of models now in use. In contrast to earlier models, results do not depend critically on the fluence from any one event.

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