Statistics – Computation
Scientific paper
Feb 1988
adsabs.harvard.edu/cgi-bin/nph-data_query?bibcode=1988georl..15..121s&link_type=abstract
Geophysical Research Letters (ISSN 0094-8276), vol. 15, Feb. 1988, p. 121-124.
Statistics
Computation
27
Secular Variations, Solar Constant, Stellar Models, Computational Astrophysics, Radiative Transfer, Sunspots
Scientific paper
Although the direct influences of sunspots upon the solar constant leads to short-term decreases, an opposite nearly in phase 11 year variation in the solar constant can be modelled. The model uses the well studied, active region influences upon the solar constant, together with the influences of global faculae, associated with polar and general solar magnetism, studied by Sheeley. Using the present model, together with the sunspot prediction of Schatten and Sofia (1987), the author predicts the average solar constant to the year 1997. He obtains a change of ≡1 W/m2 for the difference between the late twentieth century solar constant and the 17th century solar constant. This supports Eddy's view that this difference could give rise to the glacial increase during the little ice age of the 17th century.
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