A method for estimation of the quality of the solar proton-event forecast

Astronomy and Astrophysics – Astronomy

Scientific paper

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Prediction Analysis Techniques, Solar Activity, Solar Protons, Random Processes

Scientific paper

Various indicators used to estimate the quality of the solar
proton-event forecast are reviewed and their incompleteness is
discussed. Based on the concept of random forecast, it is proposed to
adopt a combined indicator more suitable for estimating the quality of
the proton-event forecast.

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