Astronomy and Astrophysics – Astronomy
Scientific paper
Sep 2004
adsabs.harvard.edu/cgi-bin/nph-data_query?bibcode=2004spie.5497..542a&link_type=abstract
Modeling and Systems Engineering for Astronomy. Edited by Craig, Simon C.; Cullum, Martin J. Proceedings of the SPIE, Volume 549
Astronomy and Astrophysics
Astronomy
Scientific paper
This paper presents an application of the neuro-fuzzy modeling to analyze the time series of solar activity, as measured through the relative Wolf number. The neuro-fuzzy structure will be optimized based on the linear adapted genetic algorithm with controlling population size (LAGA-POP). First, the dimension of the time series characteristic attractor is obtained based on the smallest Regularity Criterion (RC) and the neuro-fuzzy modeling. Second, after describing the neuro-fuzzy structure and optimizing its parameters based on LAGA-POP, the performance of the present approach in forecasting yearly sunspot numbers is favorably compared to that of other published methods. Finally, the comparison predictions for the remaining part of the 22nd and the whole 23rd cycle of solar activity are presented.
Abdel-Hamid Rabab H.
Attia Abdel-Fattah A.
Quassim Maha
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