Statistics – Methodology
Scientific paper
2009-09-29
Statistics
Methodology
15 pages, 2 figures
Scientific paper
Diffusion processes are used to model a wide range of real-world phenomena. Consequently, the ability to estimate the diffusion parameters from available time series data would greatly further our understanding of such phenomena. A new algorithm is proposed to estimate the parameters for a Fokker-Planck system. The algorithm is applicable for a wide class of multivariate diffusion systems. Not only does the method provide reliable parameter estimates in a highly computationally efficient manner, it can also produce credibility intervals for these parameters. It is demonstrated that the credibility intervals have coverage close to their advertised values. Hence, the algorithm produces parameter estimates with limited systematic biases.
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