A comparative look at sunspot cycles

Details A comparative look at sunspot cycles A comparative look at sunspot cycles

May 1984

adsabs.harvard.edu/cgi-bin/nph-data_query?bibcode=1984nastp2325.....w&link_type=abstract

NASA Tech. Pap., NASA TP-2325, 10+167 pp.

Computer Science

Regression Analysis, Solar Activity, Sun, Sunspot Cycle, Histograms, Linear Equations, Tables (Data), Trends

Scientific paper

On the basis of cycles 8 through 20, spanning about 143 years, observations of sunspot number, smoothed sunspot number, and their temporal properties were used to compute means, standard deviations, ranges, and frequency of occurrence histograms for a number of sunspot cycle parameters. The resultant schematic sunspot cycle was contrasted with the mean sunspot cycle, obtained by averaging smoothed sunspot number as a function of time, tying all cycles (8 through 20) to their minimum occurence date. A relatively good approximation of the time variation of smoothed sunspot number for a given cycle is possible if sunspot cycles are regarded in terms of being either HIGH- or LOW-R(MAX) cycles or LONG- or SHORT-PERIOD cycles, especially the latter. Linear regression analyses were performed comparing late cycle parameters with early cycle parameters and solar cycle number. The early occurring cycle parameters can be used to estimate later occurring cycle parameters with relatively good success, based on cycle 21 as an example. The sunspot cycle record clearly shows that the trend for both R(MIN) and R(MAX) was toward decreasing value between cycles 8 through 14 and toward increasing value between cycles 14 through 20. Linear regression equations were also obtained for several measures of solar activity.

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