A BASELINE SPACE WEATHER FORECAST CAPABILITY

Details A BASELINE SPACE WEATHER FORECAST CAPABILITY A BASELINE SPACE WEATHER FORECAST CAPABILITY

Dec 2009

adsabs.harvard.edu/cgi-bin/nph-data_query?bibcode=2009agufmsa43a1603y&link_type=abstract

American Geophysical Union, Fall Meeting 2009, abstract #SA43A-1603

Other

[7924] Space Weather / Forecasting, [7959] Space Weather / Models, [7999] Space Weather / General Or Miscellaneous

Scientific paper

Because of the great cost to “operationalize” space weather forecasting products, operational space weather forecasters must rely on many outdated models and techniques. There are several efforts to correct this and provide operational space weather organizations with up to date capabilities. One such effort is being pursued by the Air Force Research Laboratory’s Space Weather Forecasting Laboratory (SWFL). As an important first step in SWFL’s effort to create a forecasting capability for the DoD we are developing a baseline forecast capability that will serve as a standard from which our forecasting improvements will be measured. This baseline will be comprised of current operational models where they are available and otherwise vetted community models where operational capabilities do not currently exist. In this presentation we will describe the baseline capability and discuss the validation effort to date.

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