Regulation of Tibetan Plateau heating on variation of Indian summer monsoon in the last two millennia

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Atmospheric Processes: Paleoclimatology (0473, 4900), Global Change: Climate Dynamics (0429, 3309), Global Change: Climate Variability (1635, 3305, 3309, 4215, 4513), Global Change: Regional Climate Change, Global Change: Land/Atmosphere Interactions (1218, 1843, 3322)

Scientific paper

Decadal surface temperatures averaged over the Tibetan Plateau are derived for the last two millennia from ice core and tree-ring reconstructed surface temperatures at various locations on the Plateau. The temperature variations show that 1) the late 20th century is the warmest period in the past two millennia, 2) a persistent warming in Tibetan Plateau since the 17th century coincides with intensification of the Indian summer monsoon, and most importantly, 3) in the two millennia, epochs of cool/warm temperatures in the Tibetan Plateau coincided with weak/strong Indian summer monsoon. Comparisons between monsoon intensity variations and temperature fluctuations in other parts of the Eurasian continent suggest that the surface heating over the Tibetan Plateau has played a dominant role in changes of the Indian summer monsoon intensity.

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